从风险资讯与风险融资看风险的可保性
余鳳全
上海财经大学金融学院,上海
摘要:在气候变迁、极端灾害与资讯不对称加剧的背景下,传统保险制度面临可保性挑战。本文以科斯定理为基础,提出「产权界定—交易成本压缩—市场出清」的制度分析框架,探讨风险资讯与风险融资如何重构可保性。通过九宫格资讯整合与融资扩展模型,指出资讯透明与资本市场嵌入可降低测量与信任成本,提升承保效率与制度韧性。文章主张将保险制度作为韧性治理基础,推动从补偿转向预警与调适,拓展不确定时代的可保边界。
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[13]K. A. Froot, ‘The market for catastrophe risk: a clinical examination’, Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 60, no. 2–3, pp. 529–571, 2001.
[14]F. X. Diebold, G. D. Rudebusch, and S. B. Aruoba, ‘The macroeconomy and the yield curve: a dynamic latent factor approach’, Journal of econometrics, vol. 131, no. 1–2, pp. 309–338, 2006.
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